Waqar Asim’s Forex Scalping Strategy

Precision forex scalping model combining HTF supply and demand with LTF execution during high probability trading windows.

Waqar Asim's Forex Scalping Strategy is a precision model built around identifying high-probability supply and demand reactions during two specific one-hour trading windows on EURUSD and GBPUSD. The strategy combines higher timeframe context — identifying where price is likely to react based on decisional supply and demand zones and premium/discount positioning — with a lower timeframe entry model that waits for an inducement into a LTF supply or demand level before entering. The result is a model designed for patience over frequency: most days present no trade at all.

What distinguishes this strategy is its aggressive yet structured trade management. Stop losses are kept extremely tight at 3–7 pips (or a simple 5 pip flat), and the take profit structure is split — 50% at 3R and 50% at 10R, with an option to take full profit at 3R if confidence in the larger target is low. Breakeven is moved quickly after a new internal high or low forms on the execution timeframe, protecting the position while leaving room for the larger runner to develop.

How the strategy works

Key concepts

Decisional Supply & Demand
Similar to ICT order blocks, but specifically at the origin of large impulsive price moves. A decisional zone is where price made a decisive, aggressive move away — indicating strong institutional interest. Extra confluence is added when the zone formed after an inducement, as this shows the prior liquidity sweep was engineered before the real move.

Inducement
A lower timeframe liquidity sweep followed by a break of structure. Inducements are key to identifying who is currently in control of price — buyers or sellers. On entry, an inducement into a LTF supply or demand level is the trigger signal, confirming that the opposing side has been swept before the expected continuation move.

Market Structure Break (MSB) & Break of Structure (BOS)
An MSB is a candle close past the wick high or low of a recent price leg, signalling a potential trend reversal. A BOS is a continuation signal — a close confirming the existing trend direction. Both can precede the inducement entry in this strategy, depending on whether the trade is a reversal or trend-continuation.

Premium / Discount
Only short trades are taken when price is in premium (above the range midpoint); only long trades are taken when price is in discount (below the midpoint). This filter ensures trades are entered at a favourable location relative to the broader range, avoiding chasing price into an extended position.

Trading windows

Two one-hour windows are used, aligned with key institutional activity periods. A low-spread broker is essential for this model given the tight stop loss distances.

London Open: 8–9am London time (3–4am NY time) — EURUSD, GBPUSD
NY Afternoon: 2–3pm London time (9–10am NY time) — EURUSD, GBPUSD

Trade checklist

✓ Trend or likely reversal zone identified on the 1hr chart using recent inducements and HTF decisional supply and demand.
✓ Premium/discount confirmed — only shorts in premium, only longs in discount.
✓ Optional: SMT Divergence with GBPUSD checked for additional confluence.
✓ Invalidation checked — if price has already moved more than 50% of the local range (roughly 15–20 pips) before entry, skip the trade.
✓ MSB or BOS confirmed on the 1m chart, followed by an inducement into a LTF supply or demand level — this is the entry trigger.
✓ 5 pip stop loss. Move to breakeven after a new internal high or low forms on the 1m execution timeframe.
✓ Take 50% profit at 3R, hold remainder to 10R. If low confidence in the 10R target, take full profit at 3R instead.

Most days there are no valid setups — patience is core to this model. Mark the Asia session (midnight–6am UK / 7pm–1am NY) for additional context when preparing for the trading windows.

Watch & Learn

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Why is a low-spread broker specifically recommended for this strategy?

Because stop losses are set at just 3–7 pips (or a flat 5 pips), the spread directly eats into the risk/reward ratio. With a 5 pip stop and a 2 pip spread, for example, the effective stop becomes a much smaller buffer against noise. A low-spread broker — particularly important for forex pairs like EURUSD and GBPUSD — preserves the intended R-multiples and keeps the trade structure intact. This is why the model is noted as better suited to live funded accounts than prop firm accounts, where spreads can be wider.

How do I identify a valid inducement on the 1m chart?

An inducement is a lower timeframe liquidity sweep — price briefly exceeds a recent swing high or low, triggering the stops of traders positioned there — followed by a break of structure in the opposite direction. On the 1m chart, this looks like a small spike beyond a prior high or low, immediately followed by a decisive candle closing back through that level. The inducement into a LTF supply or demand zone is the actual entry signal, as it confirms that the opposing liquidity has been absorbed before the expected move continues.

When should I take full profit at 3R versus holding to 10R?

The default structure is 50% at 3R and 50% at 10R — the 10R runner is held when there is a clear higher timeframe draw on liquidity with no significant obstacles between the entry and that target. If the HTF context is less clear, if there is a major supply or demand level in the way, or if confidence in the extended target is low, taking full profit at 3R is the simpler and safer approach. The 10R target is an option, not a requirement.

How do I get started backtesting this strategy on FX Replay?

The best way to get started is with FX Replay's 5-day free trial of the Pro plan, which gives you full access to the asset library and advanced backtesting and analytics features from day one. After signing up, you can load a session, select your instrument and date range, and start replaying price action bar by bar. The platform includes built-in trade logging, session statistics, and a journal so your results are tracked automatically as you go. Visit the Getting Started section of the FX Replay Help Center for step-by-step guides.

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